Entry 24.09/03
87.50
Stop-Loss
75.00
Target 24.12/16
113.80
Target Price Achievement 30.06%
  • Investing Points
  • Stock Attractiveness


[Recommended Stock Earnings Review]
Arista Networks, 2025 AI-Related Revenue Target of $1.5 Billion

■ Trading Strategy (2024-11-08)
  • Investment Rating : Hold
  • Recommendation Price: $350
  • Current Price: $431.02
  • Target Price: $455
  • Current Return: +23.15%
☞ Arista Networks' stock fell 4.4% in after-hours trading following the earnings announcement. Despite exceeding market expectations for Q3, the downward revision of 2025 revenue growth from 17% to 14–15% appears to have impacted the market. However, the stock's upward trend remains intact, so we maintain a hold rating with a target price of $455.

■ Key Highlights of the 3Q Earnings
  • Exceeded Both Q3 Guidance and Consensus: Revenue was $1.81 billion (+20% YoY), operating income was $780 million (+30%), net income was $750 million (+37%), and Non-GAAP EPS was $2.40 (+31%), with revenue and EPS beating consensus by 3% and 15%, respectively.
  • Strong Growth Anticipated in the AI Networking Market: Arista offers a high-speed network Ethernet portfolio tailored to AI and large-scale learning workloads, as well as AI traffic solutions like the 77R4 Distributed Etherlink 7700 and 7800 AI Spine for large AI accelerator clusters. The company has secured five major AI customers.
  • Q4 Guidance: Revenue is expected to be $1.85–1.9 billion, with a Non-GAAP gross margin of 63–64% and Non-GAAP operating margin of 44%.
  • 2025 Guidance Revised Downward: Revenue growth for 2025 is expected to slow to 15–17%, down from 18–19% in 2024. Arista aims for $750 million in revenue each from AI back-end and campus networks, with total AI center network revenue expected to reach $1.5 billion. Annual growth is projected to remain at 15–17% through 2026.
  • Stock Split Announced: A 4-for-1 stock split has been approved, scheduled for December 4.

Recent Stock Price Trend


■ Previous Trading Strategy
Expanding Market Share from Data Centers to AI Networking

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Stock Attractiveness

More
86 / 100 Quality

Financial Ratios

Profitability(Annualized)24.09/30
Operating Margin 42.11%
ROA 23.70%
ROE 32.50%
ROIC 47.90%
Stability24.09/30
Current Ratio 446.80%
Debt Ratio 0.00%
Receivable 62D
Growth(YoY)24.09/30
Revenue Growth 18.19%
Net Income Growth 40.19%
R&D/Revenue 13.96%
Valuation24.09/30
PER 45.25
PBR 13.04
PSR 18.23
EV/EBIDTA 37.67